A Few Showers to Kick off Fall


DISCUSSION:  The autumnal equinox will take place very early Monday (3:50 A.M. to be exact). This marks to official start to the fall season, as the sun crosses the celestial equator going south. Despite the fact that it won’t feel very fall like with daytime highs staying pretty warm, our nights will feel a little more seasonal. Through the weekend and beginning of the week, most nights will see lows drop into the 50s.

Autumnal Equinox explained.

A somewhat decent chance for rain arrives later in the day on Monday. With a cold front entering the area, scattered showers will be working their way into West Virginia throughout the day, with most of them arriving for us in the afternoon and evening. However, rainfall coverage and amounts are looking rather unimpressive once again and they won’t help much with the drought status. Temperatures will be back in the upper 70s and low 80s through the day.

A cooler and drier air mass arrives into our Tuesday, which will have us reaching for the pumpkin flavored drinks as highs only make it into the low 70s. This will feel very much like fall, though the cool down will be short lived. Highs in the 80s are expected for the remainder of the week.

Beyond Monday, rain chances look to be pretty few and far between for the remainder of the week. This is not good news for our area, especially since most of us are already marked as abnormally dry or in moderate drought on the drought monitor.

Latest Drought Monitor.

Out in the Atlantic, Jerry has weakened into a tropical storm once more. Most models continue to agree that the system will make a sharp northwest turn and head away from the U.S. coast before bringing any impacts. There is still potential for Jerry to regain hurricane status through the next few days.

Tropical Storm Jerry

We also have Tropical Storm Karen spinning near the Windward Islands. It is expected to head towards Puerto Rico, but stay away from the US mainland. Karen is expected to stay a tropical storm at this time.

Expected Peak For Fall Colors

Fall colors are starting to appear across the region. We are still a ways out from peak color, but you may notice leaves changing already. Most of the area will see peak colors by mid or late October. The further north you head, the quicker leaves change. With the dry spell we’ve been dealing with leaves can potentially fall before they even reach their peak colors, so some spots could be lackluster this year.

10 Day Forecast

Staying dry and fairly mild with lows in the low and mid 60s.
Rain looking more likely, but mainly in the late afternoon. Won’t help our drought status much. Highs near 80.
Drying out. Highs in the upper 70s.
Staying dry. Highs in the upper 80s.
Looking quiet with an isolated shower. Highs in the 80s.
Mostly dry. Highs in the upper 80s.
Staying pretty quiet. Highs in the 80s.
Still looking quiet. Highs in the 70s.

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