Drier, isolated shower this afternoon


DISCUSSION:  An organized system to our north will bring the cold front through for the middle of the week. Have the rain gear ready to go early in the day. Through the past week, we haven’t had too much widespread rain, so flooding doesn’t appear to be too much of a concern for now. The day doesn’t look like a complete washout either. Activity will be on the increase through the mid afternoon and early evening.

The chance for severe weather looks low for us today. We are missing some of the necessary ingredients to get those strong, organized storms. The Storm Prediction Center cuts the marginal risk off just to our east. We will watch to see if this gets expanded west at all, though it does not look too likely. It is important to note, though, that a handful of storms still could be on the stronger side, even if we do not meet severe criteria. A bit of small hail and some gusty conditions are possible.

The best chance for severe weather today is to our east.

Thursday will feature a bit more dry time with some hit or miss showers possible. Rain coverage certainly looks to be less than Wednesday, which is good for those heading out for the first day of the state fair. It would be wise to keep an umbrella in the car, though. The later we get in the day, the better the chance we will have at seeing the rain return. Temperatures remain near normal for this time of year.

A second cold front will bring back some more showers and storms late Thursday and into Friday. Again, the timing of the front hinders our chances for severe weather. While not impossible to see a storm get a bit gusty, that is not a major concern for our region. Low temperatures will be mild overnight Thursday into Friday.

We try to clear quickly on Friday. Shower chances taper off later in the evening, leaving us to enjoy relatively quiet conditions. Canadian high pressure starts to roll on in. Some fog will be possible heading into the Saturday and we cool off with lows in the 50s. Some models are trying to suggest a handful of spots into the upper 40s! That seems a bit too cool giving our overall pattern, but interesting to see.

The weekend is looking like another great one at the moment! If we can get Canadian high pressure to build in quickly enough and hang tight over the region, we won’t have to worry about any showers passing through for the first weekend of the State Fair of West Virginia!

A drier weekend is expected.

Saturday will feature high temperatures in the upper 70s for most. The coal fields might make into the low 80s, but it looks like we’ll be a little bit cooler than where we’ve been recently.

Sunday will be a bit warmer with most of us reaching into the 80s. This is still normal for this time of year and totally expected. Highs in isolated valleys may breach the mid 80s, but that will be limited to our local warmer spots.

Showers try to build back in Monday, but a mostly dry pattern prevails. A few spotty pop ups will be possible in the afternoon. Moisture tries to roll back in and highs top out in the low to mid 80s. We will not see a washout by any means, but it is important to keep in mind if you have plans to be outdoors.

Tuesday features a similar set up to Monday, if not a little bit warmer. Moisture continues to steadily roll in out ahead of our next organized system. The additional moisture, especially in the mountains, may allow for a handful of showers or storms. We do become more unsettled as we get into the middle of the week.

July has come to a close! On average, it is one of our warmest and wettest months. However, we aren’t done with summer that fast, as August is bound to bring us plenty more 80 degree days and humidity alongside it. As we approach the late summer season, stormy weather remains a hazard on our radar. At this point in the year, our atmosphere is very warm at the surface as well as aloft, which usually helps us steer clear of too much severe weather. However, our attention will remain focused on potential flooding and high water with any stronger systems that move through the region.

Your StormTracker59 10 Day Forecast

Scattered showers and storms return. Highs in the 70s.
A handful of lingering showers. Lows in the 60s.
A bit of rain possible. Highs in the 80s.
More rain likely. Highs in the 80s.
Looking dry. Highs in the 80s. 
Staying. Highs in the 80s. 
Looking dry. Highs in the 80s.
Spotty showers. Highs seasonable in the 80s. 
Rain possible. Highs in the 80s. 
Rain possible. Highs in the 80s.

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