Drier today and tomorrow


Discussion:  High pressure finally makes a return by Tuesday, so we can all take a breath and enjoy some calmer conditions. Under partly sunny skies, we will still be warm with temperatures ranging in the upper 70s to low 80s. With this summertime heat and just enough moisture, an isolated shower cannot be ruled out. Regardless, most of us won’t need the umbrella.

Looks like a good day to hit the pool!

Quiet conditions with a light south wind will be found overnight. The river valleys will see some fog through the overnight hours. If the wind calms down enough, fog may be a bit more widespread. Lows end up in the 60s. It will still be relatively comfortable and not quite as humid as we have been recently.

A similar story will play out on Wednesday. It looks like we could get more sun than we see on Tuesday to start, but clouds do build a little bit later in the day. Once again, an isolated shower is possible but most of us won’t see any rain until Thursday.

A cold front brings another decent chance for rain on Thursday before we start thinking about the weekend. The system does look to push through decently fast, so we shouldn’t have to worry about picking up too much rain. Depending on the exact timing of the front, stronger storms may be a possibility, so it’s something to keep in mind. The Storm Prediction Center has us in a marginal risk for severe. We will be able to iron out the details as we get closer.

A marginal risk for severe weather exists on Thursday.

Some lingering showers and storms will be possible through Friday morning. The faster we dry out, the warmer we will be in the afternoon. For now, it looks like highs will be in the 70s with dew points in the 50s – a bit of a change from warm, humid pattern we have been in. This is subject to change based off of the overall pattern, though, so it is important to watch.

The weekend’s forecast gets a little bit tricky. At a glance, nice conditions look to be possible over the area with little rain and plenty of summertime warmth. However, long range models are hinting at a strong tropical system developing in the Gulf of Mexico towards middle of the week and tracking close to our region by the end of the weekend weekend.

The timing should still favor drier conditions through the weekend, even if we do end up moving some tropical remnants through. This will have a larger impact on the start of the work week. Increased cloud cover will be possible on Sunday afternoon and evening. Highs will still be in the 80s through the weekend.

Monday appears to be on the drier side as well, but that really depends on what happens with our tropical system. A warm start to the work week is expected, with above average temperatures both Monday and Tuesday. Rain chances increase heading into Tuesday. We will keep you updated as we get more information on our tropical system.

More warmth appears likely through the first half of the month. Average highs are the warmest that we see in our region through the start of July and into the middle of the month. Humidity is here to hang out in the Two Virginias, bringing a more summer-like feeling to the region. We are entering that time of year when we keep the moisture around and deal with spotty afternoon showers almost every day.

Your 10 day forecast.

Dry and quiet. Highs in the 80s.
Dry with valley fog. Lows in the 60s.
Mostly dry. Highs in the 80s.
Cold front brings more rain. Highs near 80.
Looking quiet after lunch. Highs in the 80s.
Still dry. Highs in the 80s. 
Looking quiet. Highs in the 80s 
Rain possible. Highs near 80. 
Rain possible. Highs near 80.
Some showers. Highs near 80.

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