Quiet Monday, strong storms Tuesday


DISCUSSION:  Some changes are on the way as we kick off the work week. Our center of high pressure will move off the east coast, and this will shift our winds out of the southeast. Essentially, this will allow warmer, more humid air to flow into the region. High temperatures on both Monday and Tuesday will range in the mid to upper 80s. With dew points expected in the 60s, it will be a couple of hot and muggy days.

Drier conditions do look to win out on Monday. Most of us will just notice an increase in the cloud cover as more moisture continues to flow into the area. Overall, things aren’t looking bad though and a visit to the pool wouldn’t be a bad idea during the afternoon.

A quiet day is in store Monday.

Quieter conditions are expected through the overnight hours. It will be noticeably warmer and more humid. Lows will stay mild in the upper 60s and low 70s as moisture continues streamlining in. We end up with enough energy to pop off thunderstorms shortly after sunrise on Tuesday.

By 8 AM Tuesday, we will be tracking a cluster of stronger thunderstorms moving in from the northeast. As they sink south into our region, we will slowly see them decay. Gusty winds will be possible along with heavy rain. These storms will not have too much of an effect on our severe parameters, though. We recover quickly and build in more energy by noon.

Stronger storms are possible Tuesday.

The middle of the day will be a bit quieter. More storms start to fire off in a scattered manner after noon, but especially after 2 PM Tuesday. These storms will not be as linear as the morning cluster, so we introduce the threat for hail and possibly even a brief spin up tornado. The biggest threat will still be wind gusts.

The Storm Prediction Center currently has most of us under a slight risk, with a handful of spots in northeastern Greenbrier and Pocahontas counties underneath an enhanced risk. An active weather day is expected. Activity tapers off into the evening, mainly after sunset.

The biggest threat to our region will be strong wind gusts.

More rain is in the forecast for Wednesday. Showers and storms are looking likely as our front keeps on pushing through. Highs will be back near seasonal, near the 80 degree mark as our winds shift back out of the northwest.

We will start seeing improvements by Thursday, though a bit more rain is possible as a couple weaker waves of energy track through the region. Thankfully, it doesn’t look to be a complete washout of a day, so we should have enough dry time to get some outdoor activities squeezed in during the day.

Bigger improvements are made for Friday. There are a lot of events going around the region Friday, so it’s a perfect time to bring back that sunshine! Temperatures will top out slightly above average for most. At this time, it looks like we will be just a bit too dry to support even isolated pop ups.

High pressure ultimately looks to win out by the time we make it into the weekend. Temperatures should be close to normal for this time of year, in the low 80s. It looks like we should be 2 for 2 on great weekends to enjoy the State Fair, and we know many out there will be eager to hop on their favorite rides one last time before it comes to a close.

August is bound to bring us plenty more 80 degree days and humidity alongside it. As we approach the late summer season, stormy weather remains a hazard on our radar. At this point in the year, our atmosphere is very warm at the surface as well as aloft, which usually helps us steer clear of too much severe weather. However, our attention will remain focused on potential flooding and high water with any stronger systems that move through the region.

Your 10 Day Forecast

Another quiet night. Lows in the low 60s.
Looking dry. Hot. Highs in the mid 80s.
Storms likely, some strong. Highs in the upper 80s. 
Rain continues. Highs in the 80s. 
Rain possible. Highs in the 80s. 
Looking drier. Highs in the 80s. 
Looking quiet. Highs in the 80s. 
Staying dry. Highs in the 80s. 
Rain possible. Highs in the 80s. 
Rain possible. Highs in the 80s.

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