Quiet Tomorrow. Next Round Thursday

Weather

WINTER STORM WATCHES GO INTO EFFECT AT 7PM WEDNESDAY FOR POCAHONTAS, FAYETTE, RALEIGH, WYOMING, AND MCDOWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 7AM ON FRIDAY
WINTER STORM WATCHES GO INTO EFFECT AT 12AM THURSDAY FOR SUMMERS, MERCER, TAZEWELL, GREENBRIER AND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL FRIDAY AT 12AM

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN POCAHONTAS AND WESTERN GREENBRIER COUNTIES UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY.

A few lingering snow showers will be possible tonight as we get cold. This means untreated roads can and will be slick. Use caution traveling tonight. Additional snow accumulations look to be light, no more than an inch, but it only takes a dusting to slow us down. Temperatures will drop into the teens by the morning hours. We will eventually start to dry out heading into Wednesday.

Wednesday we get a chance to dry out and take a break from back to back storm systems. We’ll see sun at times, though likely there will be more clouds overall. Highs will reach into the upper 30s, still below average but a bit better than Tuesday. Our next storm moves in as we approach the midnight hour.

Thursday is going to be a mess. For now, all types of precipitation are expected to fall at various times throughout the day; this includes, rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow. Precipitation will move in early on Thursday, so for those who want to get a jump on it we’d recommend treating your driveway/stairs Wednesday night.

The question that’s been tough to answer is how much cold air will we be able to hold onto during the day on Thursday. West of the mountains and along I-77 it doesn’t look like you’ll hold onto much cold air. So after what will likely be a quick initial burst of snow, you will transition first to likely some freezing rain, then just to plain old rain as a warm wedge sets up. East of the mountains you will hold onto your cold air through a decent part of the day. This does allow you to see some snow longer than others, but eventually some warmer air should slide in above and transition you to freezing rain and or sleet by the afternoon hours.

Our biggest concern is the freezing rain threat. Some signs point to significant icing along and east of I 77. West of I 77 you are looking at more rain than freezing rain. We could see some locations pick up more than a quarter inch of ice. This would cause numerous power outages and the potential for downed trees and power lines.

As far as snow is concerned, most are looking at a healthy amount first thing in the morning before we start to see the warm air take over. A lot of this could melt throughout the day, but then we start to add the ice accumulations. A solid 3 to 6 is possible throughout much of the area. Our higher terrain could see amounts even higher.

Bottom line: Regardless of exact snow amounts, impacts are the most important thing to focus on. Slick travel Thursday morning is incredibly likely and the ice threat has potential to disrupt travel and power as well. Now is the time to have a plan in place in case you do lose power. Travel will be highly discouraged at times throughout the day Thursday.

Remember, if we see more ice, we see less snow and vice versa. Regardless, travel will be slick and dangerous regardless. Stick with us, as this forecast depends on the storm track, and the slightest shift in track or change in temperature could completely change what we see. These are very difficult storms to forecast for. The bottom line is it’s important to prepare now and be ready for travel delays and power outages.

Friday, colder air settles in behind Thursdays storm. Some lingering moisture will be turned into upslope snow showers throughout the day time and could pose some lasting issues with slick travel. Highs will be in the low 30s.

Saturday we dry out and get another rare chance to breathe with no precipitation in the forecast. A good chance at some sun exists for the first half of the weekend too. Despite all the positives of the day we are really getting a good dose of colder air it looks like so most won’t even break the 20s for highs!

Sunday isn’t looking to bad either with mostly quiet weather still expected. We will likely see clouds begin to thicken up by the second half of the day, but any precipitation will hold off into Monday it looks like. Highs in the 40s are expected.

Monday, we see our next round of weather pop it’s head in. When the rain starts during the day will be fairly key since if it starts early we could deal with some ice first then transition to just rain later in the day, or if it starts later (after we’ve warmed up) we could just be looking at plain rain. For this storm there’s still plenty of time to go so check back often!

In the extended forecast, we’re finally looking a little quieter towards the end of February. For the most part temperatures are trending to be near average as well, so while we have to say this cautiously…it looks like things are looking up!

Be sure to follow the StormTracker 59 team on Facebook and Twitter for updates, and don’t forget to download the StormTracker 59 app which is available on Google Play and the App Store. Also, even though it is winter weather season now, Spring isn’t too far off. Consider starting your severe weather season preparations, including purchasing a NOAA weather radio for your home.

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TONIGHT:
A few lingering snow showers. Cold in the teens.
WEDNESDAY:
Briefly drying out. Highs in the upper 30s.
THURSDAY:
Next round moves in. A mess of everything. Definitely something to watch. Highs in the upper 30s.
FRIDAY:
Lingering wintry mix or snow early. Highs in the 30s.
SATURDAY:
Quieter! Highs in the 30s.
SUNDAY:
Looking dry. Highs in the 30s.
MONDAY:
Rain/snow possible. Highs in the 30s.
TUESDAY:
Cloudy, but quieter. Highs in the 40s.
WEDNESDAY:
Looking pleasant. Highs in the 40s.
THURSDAY:
A few chances for some showers. Highs in the 40s.
FRIDAY:
Still unsettled. Highs in the 40s.

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