Showers and thunderstorms return on Monday


DISCUSSION:  High pressure is to thank for the dry weather throughout the day today. Despite decent moisture and daytime heat, our air has been kept stable enough to prevent storms from popping up in the area today.

Just off to our west, a few disturbances have been sparking off some nasty thunderstorms in parts of Tennessee, Kentucky and up north through the Ohio Valley. Despite the fact that these storms are tracking east towards us, most of it shouldn’t affect us tonight. A stray shower is possible, though most models are showing that all of the activity dies down as the sun sets tonight and the storms lose their daytime heat.

We will remain mostly cloudy and warm, however. Expect lows in the 60s.

Monday brings the chance for more rain as a warm front lifts over our region. Showers are possible early, though it looks like most of the rain will come in the form of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. High temperatures make it into the 80s as we kick off the work week with unsettled conditions. Humidity also looks plentiful.

Severe storms are possible as we kick off the work week. The Storm Prediction Center has us under a slight risk, with the main threat being damaging thunderstorm winds. Hail is a lesser possibility as well, and locally heavy downpours could also produce some localized flooding.

SPC has issued a slight risk for our entire area.

The pattern breaks down after our frontal passage on Tuesday. Showers are possible in the morning with improvements clearing through the day, as high pressure moves back in. It will be a little cooler than Monday, but still near average for this time of year. The big difference will be found in the dew points. We should get a nice break from the humidity by Tuesday evening!

Wednesday looks mainly dry and quite seasonable for the end of June. A mix of clouds and sun is expected with high temperatures in the upper 70s. We need this dry time after all of the rain we’ve seen, so we’ll take it!

Models continue to show more dry time than wet time for the end of the week. We should keep things pretty close to average for temperatures. We may need to keep our eye out for a couple of stray showers here or there, but the pattern looks much drier than what we saw last week. Mother nature is getting her act together so we can enjoy some pool and river time!

More warmth appears likely as we begin to wrap up June. Average highs continue to climb through the new season, with averages into the upper 70s as we get into July. Humidity will start to hang out in the Two Virginias, bringing a more summer-like feeling to the region…which is expected now that it is summer!

Warm. Cloudy. Lows in the 60s.
Showers possible. Highs in the 80s.
Passing showers. Highs in the 70s.
Looking drier. Highs in the 70s.
Still fairly dry. Highs in the 70s.
Still looking good. Highs in the 80s.
A few showers return. Highs in the 70s.
Rain possible. Highs in the upper 70s.
Rain possible. Highs in the upper 70s.

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